【作者】Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University

【摘要】This report is a partial result of the China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project of the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR is one of the Key Research Institutes of the Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education of China. The research is funded by the Key Project of the National Social Science Fund of China (13&ZD029), the Key Projects of Philosophy and Social Sciences Research of the Ministry of Education of China (15JZD016, 14JZD011), the Major Project for Humanities and Social Sciences Key Research Institutes of the Ministry of Education of China (14JJD790007, 13JJD790026, 13JJD790025), the General and Youth Project of the National Social Science Foundation of China (15BJL008,13CJL017, 11CJY073), and the Youth Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71503222).

Since the launch of CQMM 10 years ago, 19 forecast reports with policy simulations and 10 collections of essays on macroeconomic analyses for China have been published. This is the twentieth forecast report and summarizes the forecast results released at the China Macroeconomic Advanced Forum (Spring 2016) during the CQMM Press Conference for Economic Projections for 2016–2017. The forum was jointly organized by the Center for Macroeconomic Research, Xiamen University, and the Economic Information Daily, Xinhua News Agency, in Beijing on February 25, 2016.

【出版社】Springer

【出版时间】2016-09