题    目：Uncertainty in the Economics of Medical Decisions
报 告 人：Dr. John S Lane
          Department of Economics
          London School of Economics
摘    要：A physician chooses not only the supply of medical treatment, contingent on the result of a diagnostic test, but also the quality of his service.  Two sources of uncertainty are introduced.  One source arises as, based on the patient’s “apparent” symptoms, only a priori estimates of the likelihood of alternative medical conditions can be inferred.  They can be improved upon by a diagnostic test but, inherent in such tests, is the possibility of a “false positive”.  This second source of uncertainty is shown to be critical in the possible over- or under-supply of medical treatment.  Remedial pricing structures are suggested.
时    间：2007年12月7日（星期五）3:00pm-5:00pm
地    点：经济学院D309室
主办单位：厦门大学宏观经济研究中心
          厦门大学经济学院
报告内容可以前来经济学院办公室A40（林老师）或者宏观中心办公室C201领取！
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